US President Donald Trump launched an unprecedented global customs war war in the first 100 days of his rule, reduced US foreign aid, and underestimated other countries in NATO (NATO).
In the first 100 days since Trump returned to his post, the American president launched an unexpected campaign often that led to the heart of parts of the global system based on bases, which Washington helped build from the ruins of World War II.
The Trump agenda based on (America first) policy in his second term led to the alienation of friends and the acquisition of the opponents of the audacity, and also raised questions about the extent that he is ready to go to, and raised his actions, along with this mystery, some governments worried that they are responding in ways that may be difficult to retract.
This comes in light of what the Republican critics see indicators of the decline in democracy at home, which sparked fears abroad, and these indicators include verbal attacks on judges and a pressure campaign against universities and the transfer of migrants to a notorious prison in El Salvador as part of a broader deportation campaign.
“What we are witnessing is a tremendous turmoil in global affairs. No one knows at this stage how to form an opinion about what is happening or what will come later,” said Dennis Ross, a former negotiator in Middle East affairs in democratic and republican administrations.
This evaluation comes to the changes made by Trump in the global system from interviews with more than 12 government officials, former foreign, foreign diplomats, independent analysts in Washington and capitals around the world.
Many say that although some of the damages that have already occurred may be long -term, the situation may not be impossible to fix it if Trump relieves his policy, and retracts issues including the timing and size of customs duties.
But they do not see a great opportunity for a radical transformation by Trump, and they instead expect that many countries make permanent changes in their relations with the United States to protect themselves from his confused policies.
The repercussions have already started.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jmrhewvuclc
America’s credibility
For example, some European allies seek to strengthen their defensive industries to reduce dependence on American weapons, the controversy in South Korea has raged regarding the development of its nuclear arsenal, and speculation has increased that the deterioration of relations may push US partners to rapprochement with China, at least economically.
The White House rejects the idea that Trump has harmed the credibility of the United States, indicating instead to the need to remove the effects of what he described as the “reckless leadership” of former President Joe Biden on the global scene.
“President Trump is taking quick measures to address the challenges by bringing Ukraine and Russia to the negotiating table to end their war, stop the flow of fentanel and protect American workers by holding China accountable, and pushing Iran to the negotiating table by re -working with a policy
He added that Trump “makes the Houthis pay the price of their terrorism … and secures our southern borders that were open to the invasion for 4 years.”
A Reuters/ Epsos poll and published on April 21 showed that more than half of the Americans, including one in 5 Republicans, believed that Trump is “strongly allied” with Russia, and that the American public has no great desire for the expansion program he set.
Global order at stake
Experts say that the future of the global system has crystallized over the past eight decades in light of the United States to a large extent has become at stake. This system was based on free trade, the rule of law and respect for regional safety.
But during the Trump era, which despises multilateral organizations and often looks at global affairs through the perspective of the former real estate developer, the global system is subjected to strong vibrations.
Trump accused his commercial partners by “looting” the United States for decades, and began implementing a comprehensive customs duties policy that led to the disturbance of financial markets, weakening the dollar and provoking warnings of the slowdown in the global economic product and increasing the risk of stagnation.
Trump describes customs duties as a necessary “drug”, but its goals are still not clear even with his administration to negotiate separate agreements with dozens of countries.
Meanwhile, Trump violated US policy towards the three -year Russian war in Ukraine, and entered into a sharp debate in the Oval Office with Ukrainian President Voludmir Zellinski in late February. And rapprochement with Moscow, and raised fears that he would force Kiev, supported by NATO, to accept the loss of its territory, while it is given priority to improving relations with Russian President Vladimir Putin
The administration’s disregard for Europe and NATO caused great concern, after they were for a long time the basic pillar of Atlantic security, but Trump and his aides accuse them of exploiting the United States.
The expected German advisor, Fredchich Mertz, after his victory in the elections in February, expressed his concern about European relations with the United States, and said that the situation will become difficult if those who put the slogan “America first” their slogan to “America alone”, adding, “This is in fact the pre -disaster period for Europe.”
In another blow to Washington’s global image, Trump uses an expansionist speech that contemporary presidents avoided for a long time, which analysts say that China may use it justified if it decides to invade Taiwan, which has self -rule.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y_u80fxjs1e
Dealing with Trump in his second term
The governments of other countries began to reformulate their policy. Among the most prominent:
- The European Union has prepared a set of anti -customary customs duties to impose if negotiations fail.
- Countries such as Germany and France are looking to spend more on their armies, which Trump demanded, but this may also mean investing more in its defensive industries and buying less weapons than the United States.
- In light of the tense relationship of historical friendship with the United States, Canada is seeking to strengthen its economic and security ties with Europe.
- South Korea also expressed its annoyance with Trump’s policies, including his threats to withdraw American forces, but Seoul pledged to try to work with Trump to maintain the coalition in the face of North Korea’s nuclear threat.
- Japan feels anxious; She was surprised by the volume of Trump’s customs duties, and a senior Japanese government official close to Prime Minister Xigero Ishiba said that Tokyo was “striving to respond.”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6AFINCFQDW
Searching for a relationship with China
In light of the new policies of the US administration led by Trump, many countries resorted to China, especially to confront customs duties, and the following are the most prominent of these directions:
- In early April, Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchith met with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing, and China said it had exchanged views with the European Union on strengthening economic cooperation.
- Beijing has put itself a solution to the countries that feel threatened by Trump’s commercial approach, and is also trying to fill the void that his decisions left to reduce the size of humanitarian aid.
Aaron David Miller, the veteran American diplomat, said that it has not yet been missed for Trump to change his path in foreign policy, especially if he began to feel pressure from his Republican comrades who are concerned about economic risks while they are seeking to control Congress in the midterm elections next year.
