Zohran Mamdani has a strong lead in the New York town hall race, carried by its financial accessibility program and by the fragmentation of the opposition, reveals a survey New York Times-Siena.
Democrat Mamdani obtains 46 % of the voting intentions in a four fight, support observed in all ethnic groups and particularly strong among young and educated voters.
Former governor Andrew Cuomo, in the running as independent after losing the Democratic primaries in June, obtained 24 % of voting intentions; The Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa is 15 %; The outgoing mayor Eric Adams, independent candidate marked by scandals, is 9 %.
The survey began in early September, at a particularly unstable moment, when Donald Trump and influential New York personalities were trying to create a two duel between Mr. Cuomo, 67, and Mr. Mamdani, 33, elected to the assembly of New York State and Democratic socialist.
In an extraordinary maneuver, the White House tried to convince Mr. Adams to accept the position of ambassador to Saudi Arabia. The presidential advisers also discussed strategies aimed at excluding Mr. Sliwa from the race.
The survey Time/SIENA shows the impact that would be reduced by the number of candidates on Mr. Mamdani’s advance if MM. Adams and Sliwa – who both promised to continue their campaign – suspended their activities.
In a Mamdami – Cuomo struggle, voters who support MM. Adams and Sliwa would massively join Mr. Cuomo, a moderate democrat. The race would tighten, with 48 % of the voting intentions for Mr. Mamdani and 44 % for Mr. Cuomo.
But if Mr. Adams retired and Mr. Sliwa remained, Mr. Mamdani would keep a comfortable lead.
This article was published in the New York Times.
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