Three American states which were recognized as being won by one or the other of the two parties a few weeks ago could now change color in light of the latest surveys on voting intentions in the 2024 presidential election.
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“The most recent polls show us that the American presidential race is increasingly spicy,” notes journalist and host Pierre-Olivier Zappa.
That’s the least we can say since three states “which were not on our radar three weeks ago” are now engaged in a heated battle, according to the latest polls.
It turns out that Texas, Florida and Minnesota are now among these key presidential election states.
While the journalist joked that Texas could switch several weeks ago, it would now be possible that the state could change sides.
“For the average person looking at us, we haven’t experienced a Democratic Texas, at least I haven’t experienced one, it goes back to the 1970s,” underlines Mr. Zappa.
Since George HW Bush, 41st President of the United States in office from 1989 to 1993, this state has become a Republican “stronghold”.
“However, Kamala Harris comes within 5 percentage points of Donald Trump,” mentions the analyst. “So it’s within his reach. Does that mean it’s going to happen? There is very little chance.”
It is Latin Americans and African Americans in Texas who are largely responsible for this new data. Kamala Harris would lead among these two groups with nearly 67%, while Donald Trump is ahead among white voters with 31 points.
Still in the southern United States, Florida is also close to the margin of error.
“It’s a state where Donald Trump has his base, he lives in Mar-a-Lago, so the Florida voters were with him during the last two elections, but here we see that it is tightening in particular because 15% of the Florida population is African-American,” explains the journalist.
But it is not only in the states which were acquired by the Republicans where the fight is tightening. This is also the case in Minnesota.
“Two weeks, three weeks ago, we would not have talked about this state because Tim Walz had just been chosen as vice-presidential candidate and he is the governor of Minnesota,” specifies Mr. Zappa.
Donald Trump now finds himself 5 percentage points behind his opponent.
“There are between 5 and 10% undecided in Minnesota. If two-thirds of undecided voters decide to vote for Donald Trump, that tips the scales and Donald Trump could win in this state,” he notes.
See Pierre-Olivier Zappa’s explanations in the video above
