If Donald Trump continues his quiet march towards victory in the Republican primaries, Joe Biden will soon have to overcome his first real test.
Could his rival beat him? Dean Phillips is a negligible quantity who cannot close the gap separating him from the president. The problem is elsewhere.
Israel is a ball and chain in domestic politics
It is this Tuesday that Michigan voters will decide for the Democratic primary. In addition to this short-term deadline, Michigan is also among the five or six pivotal states for the 2024 election.
During the 2020 campaign, the Arab American community helped make the difference, with Michigan falling back into the Democratic camp. Once considered part of the “firewall» (firewall) Democratic with Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, Michigan must be courted and visited frequently. A lesson learned the hard way after Hillary Clinton’s defeat.
The attitude of the Biden administration in the conflict between Israel and Hamas has aroused anger and indignation in the Muslim community. The anger is such that representatives of the community refuse to discuss with the president’s team while elected official Rashida Tlaib calls for a “non-committed” vote (uncommitted) Tuesday.
Adam Abusalah worked for the Biden campaign in 2020, yet here is what he said in an interview with CBS: “This is a warning to Biden like, get your s–t together or you’re going to lose“. Biden must change his approach or prepare to lose.
The biggest risk for Democrats is not that this large Muslim community suddenly turns to Donald Trump, but rather lies in an equally devastating potential absenteeism on November 5.
Hurry up
If it is difficult to imagine a sudden shift among Americans of Arab origin towards a Republican party increasingly driven by an extreme right, the Axios site recalled on Sunday that the GOP regularly won the favor of this community before the conflict in Afghanistan.
Joe Biden should pay closer attention to this electorate if he does not want to repeat George W. Bush’s mistake. He won’t have too much of the next nine months to achieve this.
While the Trump team is already approaching these disillusioned voters, the Democrats are limited by a major handicap: the stubbornness of Benjamin Netanyahu.
Last weekend, it was suggested that the ceasefire plan proposed by the United States was likely to materialize. Even if we succeeded, would it be too late to reverse a trend?
Both on the international scene and in domestic politics, Joe Biden is walking on a tightrope in the conflict between Israel and Hamas. He knows it and his Secretary of State is involved in all the negotiations.
Time will be a primary factor since for each postponement or delay, Muslim Americans consider that it is their own who are being left to die in Palestine.
