(Stavanger) The candidacy of US President Donald Trump at the Nobel Peace Prize attracted attention to the annual guessing game concerning the identity of the next winner.
The long -standing observers of the Nobel Prize estimate that Mr. Trump’s chances remain weak despite a multitude of very publicized appointments and some notable interventions in matters of foreign policy which he personally attributed to merit.
According to experts, the Norwegian Nobel Committee generally focuses on sustainability of peace, promoting international fraternity and the discreet work of institutions that strengthen these objectives. Mr. Trump’s assessment could even play against him, they added, citing his apparent disdain for multilateral institutions and his indifference towards concerns related to global climate change.
However, the American leader has repeatedly sought to obtain the Nobel Prize since his first mandate, recently declaring to the United Nations delegates at the end of last month: “Everyone says that I should receive the Nobel Peace Prize”.
Mr. Trump’s brackets and his highly publicized previous appointments make him the big favorite of the list of books to books. But it is not certain that his name is mentioned when the five members of the Nobel Committee, appointed by the Norwegian Parliament, meet in camera.
Since 2018, Trump has been appointed several times by people in the United States as well as by politicians abroad. His name was also proposed in December by the American Republican representative Claudia Tenney, said her office in a statement, for her intermediary role in the Abraham agreements, which normalized relations between Israel and several Arab states in 2020.
This year, the appointments of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the Pakistani government intervened after the deadline of 1er February for the awarding of the 2025 price.
Trump repeatedly estimated that he “deserved” the prize and claims to have “ended seven wars”. On Tuesday, he spoke of the possibility of putting an end to an eighth war if Israel and Hamas accepted his peace plan aimed at putting an end to the Gaza War which has lasted for almost two years.
“No one has ever done this,” he said at a meeting of military leaders at the base of the Marines in Quantico, Virginia. Do you receive the Nobel Prize? Absolutely not. They will give it to a guy who has done nothing at all. »»
Nobel Prize observers claim that the Committee gives priority to sustainable multilateral efforts rather than rapid diplomatic victories. Theo Zenou, a historian and researcher at the Henry Jackson Society, said that Mr. Trump’s efforts had not yet proved to be durable.
“There is a huge difference between causing short -term fights and resolving the deep causes of the conflict,” said Zenou.
Mr. Zenou also recalled that Mr. Trump’s disdainful position on climate change was not in tune with what several, including the Nobel Committee, consider as the greatest long -term peace challenge on the planet.
I do not think they would attribute the most prestigious price in the world to someone who does not believe in climate change. The previous winners were bridges, they embodied international cooperation and reconciliation: these are not words that we associate with Donald Trump.
Theo Zenou, historian and researcher at the Henry Jackson Society
The Nobel Committee wiped strong criticism in 2009 for awarding the Prize to the US President of the time, Barack Obama, barely nine after the start of his first mandate. Many people estimated that Mr. Obama has not been in office for a long time to have an impact worthy of the Nobel Prize.
Furthermore, the fact that Mr. Trump himself spoke openly about the possibility of obtaining the price could play against him: the committee will not want to be perceived as yielding to political pressure, said Nina Græger, director of the Peace Research Institute of Oslo.
Trump’s chances of getting the price this year are “very thin,” she added.
“His rhetoric is not going in the direction of a peaceful perspective,” she said.
Nobel Prize announcements start on Monday with the Medicine Prize. They will continue on Tuesday with the physics price, Wednesday with the chemistry price and Thursday with the literature price. The Nobel Peace Prize will be announced on Friday and the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences on October 13.
